Highway to Helton
Todd Helton has reportedly OK'd a deal to Boston, but would it be a good move for the Red Sox?When you hear the name Todd Helton, you think of a power-hitting first baseman that's been crushing balls out of Coors Field for years. You don't think of the 33-year-old who had only 15 home runs and 81 RBI in 2006.
So when the Colorado Rockies ask the Boston Red Sox for both Manny Delcarmen AND Craig Hansen in a package deal with Mike Lowell and Julian Tavarez, Theo Epstein will have to put aside his memories of the Todd Helton of 2000.
Helton drove in 147 runs that season, with 42 home runs and a batting average of .372. There's one problem.
That was seven years ago.
With recent talks between the Red Sox and Rockies about a Todd Helton swap, one has to look at Boston's potential 2-through-5 hitters and either be scared (if you're a pitcher in the AL East) or water at the mouth (Red Sox nation).
But be careful.
Helton's numbers have been in decline since the 2001 season, and since 2003, hasn't had a 100-RBI season. His most notable decline has come in the past two years - 20 home runs and 79 RBI in 2005, and 15 home runs and 81 RBI in 2006.
Helton has $90.1 million left on his contract that expires after the 2011 season. And whether or not Colorado is willing to eat most of it, the Red Sox cannot give up both of their young arms in the bullpen to get a player who is battling back problems and who's numbers have gotten worse as the years add on.
I'm not saying Helton is washed up by any means because he's not. His on-base percentage hasn't been under .400 since 1999, and the only year his batting average dipped below .300 was his rookie season in 1997, when he hit .280.
It's just that a trade of this caliber would go against everything the Red Sox actually need: a closer. Jonathan Pappelbon isn't walking back through that bullpen door. He's now a starter, and Delcarmen and Hansen are the young guns needed to close out games.
Sure, having David Ortiz hit in between Helton and Manny is a great idea, but you can't get something without giving up another. And the Red Sox can't afford to give up the thing that last year proved you can't have too much of: pitching.
Unless the Rockies are willing to settle for just Lowell and Tavarez, Helton will remain in Colorado, and Boston will be able to get back to a more important issue.
And that is, who's going to be the closer?













